2019年7月11日 星期四

On Politics With Lisa Lerer: The Plight of Republican Women

A tough political reality: Female Republican candidates simply do not get the support that their Democratic rivals enjoy.
July 11, 2019
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Evening Edition
Lisa Lerer Hi. Welcome to On Politics, your guide to the day in national politics. I’m Lisa Lerer, your host.
Antonio de Luca/The New York Times
Much has been made of the record-breaking number of women newly elected to Congress in the midterm elections. But one reality that often gets overlooked amid the fawning coverage: They’re nearly all Democrats.
Thirty-seven women won House seats in 2018. Only two were Republicans.
After the election, Republicans vowed to do better. Recruiting intensified, and money was promised to support female candidates.
One of the women those efforts helped draft was Dr. Joan Perry, a “pro-life, Christian” pediatrician, who jumped into a special election for an open House seat in a conservative district in eastern North Carolina.
Her primary runoff campaign against Dr. Greg Murphy, a conservative state representative and urological surgeon, was seen as an early test of women’s position in the Republican Party. A new political action committee aimed at electing Republican women poured nearly a million dollars into her bid. All 13 Republican women in the House backed her, along with Senators Joni Ernst of Iowa and Cindy Hyde-Smith of Mississippi.
On Tuesday, Dr. Perry didn’t just lose. She was crushed.
Supporters of Dr. Murphy insist the race wasn’t about gender, saying his promise to join the ranks of the hard-line Freedom Caucus in the House is what led to his victory. After Dr. Perry declined to make the same vow, the political-action arm of the caucus ran ads casting her as a “another lying Nancy Pelosi liberal.”
Some Republican women aren’t quite as convinced gender had nothing to do with the loss, charging their male colleagues with failing to “step up” on Dr. Perry’s behalf. Just eight male congressmen donated to Dr. Perry’s bid.
“I am concerned about this false assumption that is made that somehow women candidates are not conservative,” Representative Elise Stefanik, an upstate New York Republican who repurposed her political action committee after the 2018 race to help Republican women, told The New York Times.
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But the problem may be less about perception and more about a tough political reality: Republican women simply do not get the support that their Democratic rivals enjoy.
In 2018, women contributed $184 million to Democratic female congressional candidates and just $25 million to their Republican counterparts. And those numbers don’t include the power of well-established liberal PACs, like Emily’s List, founded in 1985 to elect Democratic women who support abortion rights.
But the obstacles facing female Republicans go beyond just a need to bolster their resources.
The gender gap in politics is real: In every presidential election since 1996, a majority of women have preferred the Democratic candidate.
That gap has grown into a gulf during the Trump administration. Suburban women fled the party during the midterms, helping Democrats take control of the House. And recent polling found that more than 6 in 10 women said they would “definitely not” vote for President Trump in 2020.
“We have to work very hard as Republicans to convince more women to run for office, but also to convince more women to vote for us,” said Representative Liz Cheney of Wyoming, the third-ranking Republican in the House, who’s mulling a bid for Senate. “Attracting women voters is crucial.”
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A recipe for Democratic disaster
The New York Times; Photo Joshua Roberts/Reuters
Things got tense for Democrats in the House this week. Lucky for us, our crack congressional correspondent Julie Hirschfeld Davis is here to explain:
Start with a fractious caucus of House Democrats that includes brash progressives clamoring for change and pragmatic moderates looking for compromise. Add months of simmering tensions over the Green New Deal, impeachment and defunding immigration enforcement. Sprinkle in a dollop of social-media-fueled sniping and a dash of racial resentment.
It all adds up to a feud, between Speaker Nancy Pelosi and four freshman congresswomen collectively known as The Squad, that doesn’t seem to be going away anytime soon.
Ms. Pelosi tried again on Thursday to shut down chatter about the increasingly public tensions between her and the group, telling reporters that she had “said what I’m going to say” on the matter to her caucus behind closed doors on Wednesday.
But the buzz continued apace, after Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York, one of the four freshman, suggested in comments to The Washington Post that Ms. Pelosi had repeatedly disrespected her and her colleagues because they were women of color.
Ms. Ocasio-Cortez told CNN on Thursday that she did not believe Ms. Pelosi was a racist, but the remark had already touched a nerve with the centrist Blue Dog Coalition, which dispatched a Democratic aide to suggest that it was the New York congresswoman who was responsible for injecting race into the conversation, when her chief of staff wrote a tweet last month comparing the Blue Dogs and other moderates to the segregationist Southern Democrats of the 1940s.
The feud is bigger than Ms. Pelosi and Ms. Ocasio-Cortez, and it has implications far beyond either of them. It points to the differences within the Democratic Party — demographic, generational and ideological — that are driving the crowded presidential race and the debate over how best to confront President Trump.
And the tensions are all but certain to flare anew in the weeks to come, as House Democrats complete a defense policy bill generating opposition from progressives, a $15-an-hour minimum wage bill drawing concerns from moderates, and legislation to set spending levels and raise the debt limit — all while continuing to grapple with whether to impeach the president.
Read Julie’s latest story: Pelosi Appeals for Democratic Unity While Dressing Down Dissenters
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Do the 2020 candidates have a poverty problem?
Our colleague Astead Herndon, who covers national politics, sent us this:
The Rev. Dr. William Barber II, the minister and social activist who convened nine presidential candidates earlier this year to discuss his Poor People’s Campaign to uplift disenfranchised communities, said that he remains disappointed in how some Democratic candidates are discussing poverty.
In an interview for the podcast “Faith 2020,” obtained by The Times before its release, Dr. Barber said he appreciated that so many candidates attended his forum, including Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr., Senators Kamala Harris, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren, and others. But he also said it showed the candidates have “work to do.”
Specifically, Dr. Barber said, the candidates rely on government data that underestimates the issue and conflates poverty with race.
“Some of them still talk in those terms, where, when they talk about poverty they talk about the government number of poverty, and they still talk in those racialized terms,” Dr. Barber said.
“I’ve been a little sad afterward, hearing them talk about middle class, middle class, middle class,” Dr. Barber said. “We cannot just have middle-class conversations, we have to talk about poor and low wealth.”
Dr. Barber said he also invited President Trump to the forum.
“We’re going to push Republicans to stop blaming the poor, and we’re going to push Democrats to stop running from the poor,” he said.
Read more: 2020 Democrats Address Poverty and Systemic Racism at Presidential Forum
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What to read tonight
When federal prosecutors announced sex-trafficking charges against Jeffrey Epstein this week, they described him as “a man of nearly infinite means.” But much of that appears to be an illusion — there is little evidence that Mr. Epstein is actually a billionaire.
In the latest edition of our Climate Fwd: newsletter, following the money behind a research organization that disputes the science of climate change reveals some surprising donors. [Sign up for the newsletter here.]
We like to think that politicians care about what their constituents want. But what if they don’t? Two political scientists decided to find out, and collected their findings in a Times op-ed.
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… Seriously
Robert Foster, a Republican running for governor in Mississippi, blocked a female reporter from shadowing him on a campaign trip unless she brought a man along with her.
“How can you do your job if you can’t be alone in a room with a woman?” wondered the reporter, Larrison Campbell.
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Is there anything you think we’re missing? Anything you want to see more of? We’d love to hear from you. Email us at onpolitics@nytimes.com.
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Your Thursday Evening Briefing

Census, Tropical Storm Barry, 'The Lion King'
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Thursday, July 11, 2019

Your Thursday Evening Briefing
By REMY TUMIN AND LISA IABONI
Good evening. Here's the latest.
Doug Mills/The New York Times
1. "We are not backing down on our effort to determine the citizenship status of the United States population."
That was President Trump, announcing from the Rose Garden this afternoon that he was abandoning his battle to put a citizenship question on the census, saying the government would instead find citizenship data from existing federal records to provide a "full, complete and accurate count."
Earlier, conservative fringe figures had their moment with Mr. Trump during a "social media summit," sharing stories of what they call discrimination and suppression on the internet.
Our White House correspondent Katie Rogers live-tweeted the president's remarks, which sometimes resembled his own staccato posts: "Shadow ban. 100 percent. The blocking, just the basic blocking of what we want to get out."
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Lizabeth Menzies/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images
2. Tropical Storm Barry is heading toward the Louisiana coast. Parts of New Orleans have already flooded, and there's a lot more rain in the forecast.
The slow-moving storm is expected make landfall early Saturday, possibly as a hurricane. The Mississippi River is expected to crest close to 20 feet, and evacuations are beginning. About 10 to 15 inches of rain is predicted to fall starting late tonight through the weekend. Here's what you need to know.
If you think hurricanes are getting wetter, you're right. It's part of climate change.
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Rick Bowmer/Associated Press
3. President Trump withdrew a plan to cut prescription drug rebates under Medicare, the second setback this week in his bid to lower pharmaceutical prices.
On Monday, a federal judge threw out a rule that would have required pharmaceutical companies to list the price of their drugs in television advertisements.
Some of the administration's drug policy experimentation is possible because of provisions in the Affordable Care Act. That could all go away if the program is dismantled.
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Stephanie Keith/Getty Images
4. Jeffrey Epstein has been described by prosecutors as a man of enormous wealth, but our reporting shows that may be more illusion than fact.
Regardless, the financier wants to use some of his assets to stay out of jail while he awaits trial on sex-trafficking charges in New York. He filed a detailed bail proposal that offers up his palatial Manhattan townhouse and his private jet. A hearing is set for Monday. Above, protests in New York earlier this week.
Here's how the case against Mr. Epstein unfolded over more than a decade.
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Hiroko Masuike/The New York Times
5. The robots have really arrived.
Amazon plans to spend $700 million to retrain about 100,000 workers by 2025, a mass reshaping of labor as the e-commerce giant increasingly relies on robots and automation technology in its frenetic warehouses. Above, a fulfillment center on Staten Island, N.Y.
Artificial intelligence is also getting better at bluffing.
Pluribus, a poker-playing algorithm, can beat the world's top human players, proving that machines, too, can master our mind games. Possible applications include Wall Street trading and even cybersecurity.
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Ismail Zitouny/Reuters
6. Europe outsourced an immigration problem to Libya, where a civil war is raging.
After 53 migrants were killed in an airstrike in an E.U.-financed shelter there, we analyzed photos, videos and satellite images of the facility to find out what happened, and talked to former detainees and humanitarian workers in the area who told our team grim stories of lapses on many fronts.
In the U.S., the government's plans to begin nationwide deportation raids Sunday are rattling immigrant communities and prompting backlash from politicians. The operation, backed by President Trump, is stoking divisions within the Department of Homeland Security.
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Rebecca Conway for The New York Times
7. What happens when a city of five million people dries up?
Bathe with the water that drips out of the air-conditioner, or skip showers altogether. Line up every day to fill neon plastic pots from a public tap. Rinse the rice, then use the water to wash the fish.
These are some of the hacks that people in Chennai, India, have adopted as their groundwater, reservoirs and lakes have virtually disappeared, unreplenished by a weak monsoon. Above, residents collected water delivered by a tanker.
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Hannah McKay/Reuters
8. Serena Williams and Simona Halep both advanced today to the Wimbledon final on Saturday.
Halep is eyeing her first singles title there, while Williams is chasing her first since the birth of her daughter in September 2017 — which would tie the record of 24 Grand Slam singles titles held by Margaret Court.
The men's singles semifinals are Friday, with a long-awaited Wimbledon rematch of one of tennis's most celebrated rivalries: Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal.
Our tennis reporter dug into a new trend in Grand Slam enforcement: fines for violating professional standards, meaning just not trying hard enough on the court.
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Disney, via Associated Press
9. Can you feel the love tonight? Our film critic says: kinda.
If a movie could be judged solely on technique, the new "The Lion King" might qualify as a great one, he writes. But the songs "don't have the pop or the splendor." (Your briefer will see it no matter what.) Read the full review here.
Our art critic, on the other hand, thought quite highly of "Saint Jerome Praying in the Wilderness," by Leonardo da Vinci, on loan to the Met in New York from the Vatican's collections for the 500th anniversary of Leonardo's death.
The unfinished painting "leaves an expression of fever-pitch emotion ever burning," he writes.
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Patricia Wall/The New York Times
10. And finally, a new chapter.
Beach reads are often cast off as "easy" or "mindless," but our writer suggests you think of them as "the cool aunts of the literary world" — "memorable, challenging, warm and wise." Here are eight new ones to get you through summer.
And for a different kind of reading challenge, our Australia bureau chief spent a few days with an oyster farmer in Tasmania who is writing 365 books in 365 days, for his daughter, Cielo.
"The more kids love stories and love books, the better the world will be for my daughter," he said.
Good night stars, good night air, good night noises everywhere.
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