2020年2月5日 星期三

On Politics: Still Talking About Iowa

Results trickled in, and the candidates recalibrated. This is your morning tip sheet.
Good morning and welcome to On Politics, a daily political analysis of the 2020 elections based on reporting by New York Times journalists.

Where things stand in the race

  • A day and a half later, we’re still waiting (!) for final results from the Iowa caucuses. But with 71 percent of precincts reporting as of late Tuesday night, Pete Buttigieg held a narrow lead — having earned the most “state delegate equivalents.”
  • By that count he is edging out Bernie Sanders, who has the lead among so-called first and final alignments — a closer measure of the popular vote. (If you hadn’t heard, the way the Iowa caucuses work is pretty complex.)
  • Buttigieg had staked his campaign on a big result in Iowa — and he may have done better than almost anyone expected. He sounded appreciative and fired-up on Tuesday, speaking in Laconia, N.H.: “A campaign that started a year ago with four staff members, no name-recognition, no money, just a big idea — a campaign that some said should have no business even making this attempt — has taken its place at the front of this race,” he told supporters.
  • Whether he finishes first or second, Buttigieg will take solid momentum with him into the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday. Like Iowa, the Granite State has relatively few nonwhite voters, and its primary is open to Republicans and independents as well as Democrats. That means there’s the potential for more moderate voters to participate who are distressed by President Trump but uninterested in liberal proposals. Still, Sanders has held a decisive lead in most New Hampshire polls over the past few weeks.
  • The partial caucus results have Elizabeth Warren in third, seemingly enough to earn her a few delegates at the convention. Joe Biden appears on track for a distant fourth-place finish — between Warren and Amy Klobuchar, who ranked fifth in the early delegate-equivalent count. That would be a disappointment for him, setting up an urgent need for a strong finish in New Hampshire or Nevada.
  • So who won the battle for the most news coverage on the night of the Iowa caucuses? It wasn’t Buttigieg, Sanders or anyone else — it was the caucus system itself. About 100 percent of that coverage was negative. That’s because a largely untested smartphone app designed for the caucuses malfunctioned, leading to long waits when officials tried to phone in caucus results. Quarrels broke out between campaigns and party officials. It’s still not clear when we’ll have final results.
  • The entire debacle is leading to all sorts of questions about the necessity of Iowa’s labyrinthine caucus process — which was already an easy thing to complain about. Many say that the state is too overwhelmingly white to vote first; that the complex caucus process is relatively unrepresentative; and that it makes voting harder for non-English speakers, low-income people who work long hours and those with disabilities. If it were up to most Democrats, a recent poll suggested, the entire country would just cast its votes in the primary on a single day.

Photo of the day

Alyssa Schukar for The New York Times

Pat Provencher waited for a Pete Buttigieg campaign event to begin at Laconia Middle School in New Hampshire on Tuesday.

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Trump boasts, and Pelosi responds

A speech that began over raucous chants of “four more years” ended with an opponent tearing up her copy of the remarks.

Officially, it was the State of the Union address, but it sometimes felt more like a political battle royale.

Trump’s third State of the Union address was his most combative — and also his most triumphant-seeming. Expecting acquittal on Wednesday in his impeachment trial, speaking on the day that his Gallup approval rating hit the highest number of his presidency (49 percent), Trump spent much of the speech boasting about the thriving economy he said he had fostered.

He devoted an entire section of the speech to ticking off the various demographics currently enjoying historically low unemployment rates.

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In what seemed like a preview of his general-election talking points, Trump highlighted his trade policies, tax cuts and deregulation — while taking pains to depict Democratic politicians as out-and-out “socialists.”

Speaker Nancy Pelosi looked on in disgust throughout, hardly ever rising to applaud, and as the speech ended, she made a point of tearing up the papers she had been reading in front of the cameras.

In a first, Trump staged two made-for-TV moments during the speech. He announced from the podium that Rush Limbaugh, the conservative commentator who recently announced he had Stage 4 lung cancer, would receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom, as some Democrats groaned. Melania Trump presented him with the medal.

Impeachment trial will come to a vote on Wednesday

The president’s impeachment trial is still technically underway — but the result appears to be basically guaranteed.

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Republican senators are expected to easily vote to acquit Trump on Wednesday, delivering a finishing blow to Democrats’ efforts to remove him from office.

Democrats worried when they opened the impeachment trial that failing to bring about a conviction would leave Trump unshackled and invigorated going into the 2020 campaign.

It’s too early to know whether that will turn out to be the case — but he was certainly acting that way at the State of the Union. And the upswing in his approval rating during the trial will probably leave some Democrats unsettled.

Fifty-two percent of Americans in the Gallup poll said they thought Trump should be acquitted, versus 46 percent who wanted him convicted and removed from office.

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‘Dad Naps’ for Everyone

Luxurious weekend snoozing should be a parental right.

‘Dad Naps' for Everyone

Alessandra De Cristofaro

Here is what a “dad nap” looks like: A man passed out in the middle of any high-traffic domestic space, usually with a fair amount of ruckus going on around him while he blithely sleeps the day away, perhaps with a quilt pulled over his head to block out sound and cover his mouth, which is definitely agape.

While we often associate these naps with straight men, I advise any parent to take a dad nap, as long as you have somebody to watch your kids. (Though in a dire situation, have I rested my eyes with a child on an iPad in bed with me? Yes, yes I have.)

Last year, I wrote that becoming sick while pregnant with my second kid helped my husband and me rebalance our household responsibilities. For parents who feel like they’re doing more than their fair share, taking a luxurious afternoon nap is another great way to force equality.

At this point, the parents doing more than half of the child care tend to be women. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, based on data collected from 2014-2018, on an average day, women with kids under 6 spent 1.1 hours providing “physical care” like bathing or feeding a child, while men spent only 26 minutes doing those tasks. One way to make your partner provide that kind of physical care is to be dead asleep during snack time.

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I understand that demanding a dad nap may be a hard sell for a parent of any gender, if you’re not used to it. I baked it into our marriage from the moment we had kids. I took afternoon naps because I got up to feed the baby in the middle of the night. As the baby stopped waking up at night, I argued for a nap because I was still recovering from pushing a 9 pound, 3 ounce baby out of my nethers. It’s tough to argue against “I gave life to our giant baby.” My husband doesn’t even like naps, so that bought me about a year before I got pushback. Then, we had a second giant baby, and I got to milk that excuse for another year. By now, my dad nap is built into the bylaws of our weekends.

The trick to a good dad nap is releasing all worry about what’s happening to your kids while you’re asleep. My kids could be watching “Jaws” or plotting a coup, but for that blissful hour or two, it’s not my problem. There’s a sociological phenomenon called maternal gatekeeping, in which moms subtly or overtly discourage their male partners by criticizing the fathers’ parenting, taking over child care or hogging all the parental decision-making. To properly dad nap, you need to step away from the gate — your partner may do things differently than you do, but that’s O.K. It’s even beneficial for kids to have a special, unique relationship with each parent.

A dad nap is also good for your health. Even if you have had a good night’s sleep, napping may improve your emotional regulation, your memory, your attention span and your creativity. I want to make clear that actual dads should still be able to take dad naps; I just want to spread the napping around so everybody benefits.

I’m writing this on a Sunday morning, and my dad nap is already planned for 2 p.m. My naps never take place in the living room; I get into my bed in my pajamas in the middle of the day, because I want to get the full restorative nap experience. If you do one thing for yourself this weekend, I say take the damn nap. And do it without guilt.

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