2020年6月23日 星期二

The boys who cried ‘no wolf’

Pretending the coronavirus isn’t there won't work.
President Donald Trump speaks during a campaign rally in Tulsa, Okla., on June 20.Sue Ogrocki/Associated Press
Author Headshot

By Paul Krugman

Opinion Columnist

Look, I can understand why Donald Trump and his minions turned a blind eye to the coronavirus back in February. There were already good reasons to believe that a serious pandemic was on its way, and minimizing the risk was deeply irresponsible. But at the time there was at least a possibility that things wouldn’t be too bad, and from a cynical point of view it made some sense for an administration that wanted to tout a growing economy to engage in happy talk rather than deal with the problem.

But that was four months and 120,000 dead Americans ago. What’s the point of keeping up the pretense?

I mean, what was the purpose of having Vice President Mike Pence put his name to an Op-Ed article declaring that there won’t be a second wave of infections? Nobody in their right mind imagines that Pence is an objective source of epidemiological information. And Larry Kudlow, the administration’s top economist, may have negative credibility: if he says something, it’s almost surely wrong. Why have him, of all people, assure the nation that a second wave isn’t coming?

Actual epidemiologists don’t think that the rising number of new cases is just an artifact of more testing. Two months ago, estimates of Rt, the number of people infected by each already-infected person, were below 1 for most states, meaning that the pandemic appeared to be fading away. But now they’re well above 1 for much of the country. Rt in Florida, for example, has gone from 0.81 in mid-April to 1.39 now.

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Even Republican governors who were gung-ho for rapid reopening are sounding very worried. I wouldn’t have expected Texas governor Greg Abbott, who rushed to reopen the state and overruled local governments that wanted to be more cautious, to be sounding the alarm and urging people to wear face masks. But grim data and surging hospitalizations have clearly shocked him.

In any case, what good does virus denial do at this point, even in terms of cynical politics? If the pandemic really does fade away — which looks increasingly unlikely, but still — it will help Trump’s re-election prospects whatever Pence and Kudlow may say. But if it gets worse, they’ve further hurt the administration’s deeply damaged credibility.

My best guess about the logic behind the administration’s coronavirus strategy is that there is no logic. That is, there isn’t anyone sitting in the White House facing the realities of the situation and thinking about how to game them. Instead, they’re just running around in a panic.

The thing is, Covid-19 isn’t the kind of enemy Trump and company wanted to fight. It’s not a politician you can demonize and give silly nicknames; it’s not an ethnic minority about whom you can fearmonger and which you can beat up (not that that strategy is going well, either). It’s a real problem that demands real solutions, which is something the man in the White House and his associates don’t know how to do.

So they’re still pretending that everything is fine. Unfortunately, the virus isn’t listening

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Quick Hits

“The month ahead is likely to be filled with terrible loss.”

Texas seems to be on the edge of catastrophe.

But New Jersey, which has been doing well, is reopening more stuff. Time to get a haircut!

I admit it: I decamped to NJ, mainly for the backyard. But not many people did the same.

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Facing the Music

Mother, should I trust the government?YouTube

Roger Waters — with my favorites Lucius singing backup!

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On Tech: Apple announces new privacy features

Apple says it will make it tougher for apps to track you. It will also help you wash your hands.

Apple announces new privacy features

Dae In Chung

Greetings, friends! I’m your personal tech columnist. I’ll be taking the wheel for today’s intro.

This week is a big one for Apple, which is hosting its annual conference for the software developers who make apps for Apple phones, tablets, watches and computers. The company started the weeklong event with a video presentation streamed on Monday, outlining its new features.

The presentation was chock-full of jargon and deeply technical stuff that only engineers would understand. But here’s the news that you may care about:

  • Apple is making it tougher for apps to track you. Unbeknown to many of us, thousands of apps that we lovingly use on our smartphones have invisible trackers running in the background. The trackers may be collecting and sharing our personal information, like our location, email address and phone number, with businesses and other entities for the purpose of serving targeted ads. You can’t opt in or opt out of app tracking.That may soon change. Apple said that beginning this fall with its next mobile operating system, iOS 14, it will require so-called third-party apps to ask for your permission to track you.Apple will also give iPhone and iPad users more control over how their location is shared. Instead of sharing your precise location with an app, you will be able to share your approximate location, giving a developer a rough idea of where you are. That could be helpful if you are using a news app, for example, and you want to see articles about your hometown but don’t want to share precisely where you live.In the past, Apple and Google have required apps to ask for permission to access sensors, such as your camera and microphone. These new protections expand on Apple’s efforts to give users greater transparency and control over the data collected about us. (Your move, Google.)
  • The Mac is about to make a big shift. Have you ever noticed how sluggish Macs feel compared to Apple’s mobile devices? Macs use Intel processors, but mobile processors have outpaced Intel chips in terms of speed and power efficiency. Even the cheapest new Apple phone, the $399 iPhone SE, by some measures outperforms the most powerful Mac laptops, which cost more than $2,500.That’s why it’s a big deal that this week Apple announced the beginning of the Mac’s transition to Apple-made silicon, which will be based on the same chip architecture powering iPhones and iPads. If all goes well, we can expect Macs with snappier performance and much longer battery life, and they should also be able to run iPhone and iPad apps.The transition to Apple chips is expected to take two years. If you buy a Mac in 2022, it should have the horsepower of an iPad, but work with a mouse and keyboard.
  • The Apple Watch is trying to be more helpful during the pandemic. Apple said the next version of the Apple Watch operating system, WatchOS 7, would take advantage of the watch’s motion sensors to detect when you are washing your hands — and start a 20-second timer to ensure you scrub thoroughly. The watch will also use its sensors to track sleep patterns. These are relatively minor new features, but we could all probably use better sleep and hygiene these days.

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Seeking therapy through screens

Thanks to Brian for tag-teaming with me. This is Shira Ovide for the rest of today’s dispatch.

The last few months have been A LOT. As the stresses on our bodies, finances, families and minds have piled up, it’s gotten more complicated to seek help as physicians and mental health specialists paused seeing patients in person because of coronavirus fears.

But a silver lining, said Dr. Joy Harden Bradford, a psychologist and founder of the mental health resource Therapy for Black Girls, is that moving therapy sessions online has been more rewarding for some people — although that hasn’t been true for everyone.

For some, taking face-to-face interaction out of therapy makes difficult conversations easier. “Adding a screen is just enough of a barrier where it maybe feels safer to share something,” Dr. Bradford said.

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Dr. Bradford had advice for people seeking therapy right now through online appointments. During virtual sessions, try to find a private, personal space — even if that means taking a video call alone in your car, while on a walk or in the bathroom with the door closed.

She also advised people to give themselves a time to transition after sessions end, rather than jumping right back into family or work obligations.

Dr. Bradford also said people shouldn’t be afraid to find a new therapist if their current one isn’t a good match, for example a practitioner who isn’t responsive to the added stresses that some black people are feeling.

For people worried about costs, Dr. Bradford said some individual therapists and apps such as Talkspace offer free appointments, and a number of health insurers have been waiving co-payments for people to speak to therapists virtually during the coronavirus.

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And nonprofit groups including the Loveland Foundation, Open Path Psychotherapy Collective and the Boris Lawrence Henson Foundation offer financial assistance or lower-cost options for people who are seeking therapy.

Before we go …

Hugs to this

Rescued baby swans! Look how fuzzy they are! (Thanks to my colleague Dodai Stewart for sharing this one.)

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2020年6月22日 星期一

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