2020年11月20日 星期五

On Tech: Uncool can beat flashy tech

Focus more on the boring stuff. It can make a profound difference in our lives.

Uncool can beat flashy tech

Shira Inbar

One of my missions is to get more people to appreciate the wonders of uncool technology.

This is not only because I am profoundly uncool personally, but also because I worry that we fixate on whiz-bang technology at the expense of less flashy stuff that can make a profound difference in people’s lives.

To give you a tale of two extremes: Exciting helium balloons and unremarkable smartphones with the look and feel of 1990s flip phones.

The Information, a technology news publication, wrote this week about Loon, a nearly decade-old project from Google’s parent company to beam internet signals to remote places using high-altitude balloons that act like floating cellphone towers. The idea is thrilling. The balloons look like rad jellyfish. But, uh, they might not be working very well.

The Information found that Loon had spent a bunch of money including on costs it didn’t expect like regularly replacing balloons — something that more conventional internet delivery options don’t require. The Information pointed out some examples where Loon balloons have been useful, including when Hurricane Maria destroyed cell towers in Puerto Rico.

My colleague Abdi Latif Dahir has written that critics of a Loon project in Kenya said it was a solution in search of a problem, as most Kenyans already had internet access through more conventional cellphone towers and fiber optic cables.

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He and the Information article implicitly asked a profound question: Is flashy technology better and more financially viable than cheaper, simpler solutions? It’s a good question, right?

If fancy technology isn’t inherently better and may be worse, what’s the alternative?

I wrote last year about two uncool technologies that have profoundly helped increase the number of people connected to the internet in poorer countries: Smartphones with simple software and bare-bones parts that cost as little at $20, and inexpensive equipment like solar-powered poles to hold internet wiring and carry signals to hard-to-reach spots in the world.

(It also helps to have billionaires like India’s Mukesh Ambani who are willing to pour money and political persuasion into building internet networks.)

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A solar-powered telecommunications pole in the ground is boring to look at but is the result of some sophisticated technology, sensible business planning and savvy politicking. Those are the unflashy forces that have made a far bigger difference for far less money than helium balloons, Facebook’s failed internet-ferrying drone project and efforts to beam internet service from satellites.

That’s not to say that flashy never works, nor that people and companies shouldn’t dream big. We need that, too.

But efforts to widen internet access using satellites and helium balloons suck up attention and money that might be more effectively lavished on seemingly boring infrastructure like laying more thick coals of cables that carry our internet data.

There’s a tendency to obsess on grand fixes that may not fix anything. Apps that try (and fail) to “modernize” an election get more attention than a simple election information website that just gives voters what they need fast. And while some health systems are splurging on creepy, possibly ineffective software to predict patients’ coronavirus-related health risks, unfussy virus-exposure apps can help people stay safe now.

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We need to pay more attention to the uncool and the incremental. I wish there were MacArthur “genius” grants for thinking small.

Thursday’s newsletter about research into bogus product reviews on Amazon had a busted link to the research paper online. This link will take you to the paper.

We love information garbage

I want to talk to you about a chart. A clunky one. It’s from Mark Zuckerberg, and it explains a lot about the confusing, shouty information we find ourselves mucking around in.

In 2018, the Facebook boss wrote a very long post that had two fairly profound explanations of human behavior. First, he said, people are intrigued by whatever is titillating, sensational and outrageous — often even if they say they don’t like it. (I do love scanning the gossip magazines at my hair salon.)

And second, he said, no matter where Facebook drew the line at activity that went too far — dangerous lies, bullying, calls for violence, sexually suggestive photos — people tended to post material that went right up to the line. And they did that because, again, people found it engaging.

Zuckerberg even included that chart, which my colleague Kevin Roose tweeted on Thursday, to visually show that as material on Facebook edged closer to breaching the site’s rules, people tended to interact with it more. Zuckerberg called this a “basic incentive problem.” When people found “borderline content” interesting and engaging, that encouraged them to make more borderline content.

The basic incentive problem remains. We’ve talked about this a lot: Outrageous, bombastic and sometimes untrue things are more engaging than the truth. We’ve seen that with the sea of misinformation about the U.S. election.

Politico recently published a poll finding that 70 percent of Republicans do not believe the election was free and fair despite the lack of credible evidence to support this view.

Facebook, YouTube and other internet companies are not solely to blame for the garbage soup of bad information and conspiracies, which germinate from or are encouraged by President Trump and other powerful people and institutions.

The way false election ideas have spread has played out as Zuckerberg described two years ago. Kevin said it best: “Voter fraud conspiracy theories pushed by a sitting president are a bigger problem than social media companies alone can solve, but man, ranking information based on how interesting it is has consequences.”

Before we go …

  • Your tween’s obsession is a big business, too: Roblox, the company that makes a Lego-like online game beloved by children, released financial details that shows it has gained many more users and revenue during the pandemic, my colleagues Kellen Browning and Lauren Hirsch reported. (Kellen has also written about the young people who create Roblox add-ons, like virtual clothing and mini-games that they sell to fellow Roblox players.)
  • This is a big milestone in entertainment: Plans to release the next edition of the “Wonder Woman” movie both in theaters and on HBO Max show that movie theaters have lost their power and that entertainment companies are desperate to make their streaming services big and fast, Peter Kafka wrote for Recode.
  • The opposite of “doom scrolling” is Zillow surfing? People who “want to flee not just their homes but the reality of 2020” are wallowing in online home listings to daydream about alternate realities, my colleague Taylor Lorenz reported. The Times’s Nellie Bowles also wrote a hilarious confession earlier in the pandemic about surfing Zillow to fantasize about a different life involving an expensive cargo bicycle or a backyard chicken coop.

Hugs to this

Badger the cat is very frustrated at having so many fabulous outfits and nowhere to go to show them off. (Thanks to our On Tech editor, Hanna Ingber, for finding this TikTok video and making me watch it 45 times.)

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2020年11月19日 星期四

On Tech: How fake reviews hurt us and Amazon

New research shows that we need to be even more skeptical online shoppers.

How fake reviews hurt us and Amazon

Daniel Wenzel

Here’s a conundrum of the digital age: It’s now possible and valuable to evaluate the feedback of others before buying a product, trying a restaurant or booking a hotel. But the growing ability to manipulate that feedback makes it hard to have faith.

We have more information than ever but may be more poorly informed.

A recent academic research paper examined the prevalence of paid customer reviews on Amazon, and how the company and shoppers responded to them. The researchers found that Amazon is deleting a large share of ratings for which merchants paid, as these violate the company’s rules. But in most instances Amazon didn’t act fast enough, so people were still influenced by the bogus reviews.

Customer ratings heavily influence what people buy online. This research suggests that Amazon could be doing more to ensure the credibility of reviews, and that we need to be even more skeptical shoppers.

Two of the paper’s authors, Brett Hollenbeck and Sherry He, talked me through how they combed groups on Facebook where merchants solicit glowing reviews on their Amazon merchandise, typically in exchange for a free product, cash or other incentives. Over nine months, their team tracked about 1,500 products with solicited reviews.

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The research found these paid-for reviews worked, to a point. The average rating and sales of the products increased, but only for a week or two before ratings fell as soon as merchants stopped buying reviews. It was often still financially worthwhile for the merchants, they said.

An Amazon representative told me that the company devotes significant resources to rooting out and preventing inauthentic reviews, and that it catches many before they ever appear on its site.

The researchers found that Amazon eventually deleted roughly one-third of the bogus reviews, but typically only after an average lag of more than 100 days. Long before then, unhappy customers left a significant number of one-star reviews, a sign that they didn’t like what they bought and possibly even felt deceived by it.

Previous investigations and analyses have examined the cottage industry of bogus Amazon product reviews. This research is different in spotlighting Amazon’s response.

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It’s impossible to catch all bad actors. But the fact that Amazon eventually deletes a significant portion of bought-off reviews shows that the company is able to spot inauthentic ones but doesn’t have the resources or doesn’t care enough to catch them before the damage is done.

“They have almost unlimited resources and this seems to pose a threat to people’s confidence in the company,” said Dr. Hollenbeck, an assistant professor of marketing at the Anderson School of Management at the University of California, Los Angeles.

The researchers said their findings had made them more cautious online shoppers and suggested tips for the rest of us. People should be particularly wary of reviews for products that are expensive and for items bought during the holiday shopping period and in categories where many merchants are offering nearly identical products. Those cases have higher instances of bought-off reviews.

They also said it’s safer but not foolproof to buy from merchants whose names you recognize. In their analysis, the majority of solicited reviews came from relatively unknown merchants, mostly in China. Here are more online shopping tips from Wirecutter, The New York Times’s product recommendation site.

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When companies fuel people’s suspicions

It’s bad when companies aren’t upfront with their customers. It’s much worse when companies aren’t upfront in ways that fuel conspiracy theories.

Apple agreed on Wednesday to pay $113 million to settle an investigation by more than 30 states into its past practice of secretly slowing down older iPhones to preserve their battery life, my colleague Jack Nicas reported. In 2017, Apple acknowledged that it had reprogrammed its software to slow down phones with older batteries in some circumstances to prevent them from shutting off unexpectedly.

What Apple had been doing was not necessarily wrong, but the way the company communicated with customers was clueless.

Apple knew that people had suspected for years that the company intentionally made people’s existing iPhones slower when new models were coming out so that people would buy new phones. There has never been evidence of this, and Apple has gotten angry about these rumors over the years.

The problem was that when Apple trained its software to slow down iPhones — for perhaps a sensible reason — it didn’t sufficiently explain what it was doing. And that fueled the conspiracy theories that people already had about their iPhones. Apple created unnecessary controversy for itself.

Likewise, Facebook made a similar error when it acknowledged having human reviewers listen to audio clips from people using its services but didn’t properly explain why. There may have been legitimate reasons for Facebook to review people’s audio recordings from its Messenger app and other products, but the company wasn’t transparent about what it was doing — either to customers or its workers.

Again, this activity played into long-held suspicions that Facebook was listening to people’s private conversations. Facebook executives have rebutted these suspicions. It’s harder to trust Facebook saying it’s not secretly listening to people, when its workers do actually listen to people without their true knowledge or consent.

My free advice for rich companies: Don’t do anything that undermines your own attempts to bat down conspiracy theories.

Before we go …

Hugs to this

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